South Africa Reserve Bank — OCARM Cash Cycle Resilience Program

Organization/s that “owns” (developed, implemented, etc) the program/project.

South African Reserve Bank

List all organizations involved in the development of this project

The following stakeholders were involved in the development of the project:

  • South African Reserve Bank (SARB) – Currency Management Department
  • Financial Sector Contingency Forum (FSCF)
  • OCARM Committee (FSCF sub‑committee)
  • Commercial Banks (South Africa)
  • Cash‑in‑Transit (CIT) Operators
  • Banking Association of South Africa (BASA) and its members
  • Payments Association of South Africa (PASA)
  • South African Banking Risk Information Centre (SABRIC)
  • Cash‑in‑Transit Association of South Africa (CITASA)
  • National Cash Management Industry Business Continuity Forum
  • SARB Joint Operational Crisis Forum (JOC)
  • PayInc.

Date the Program was Implemented/Released

01/04/2025

Project/Program Description

The South Africa Orderly Closure And Reopening of Markets (OCARM) Cash Cycle Resilience Program strengthens the national cash ecosystem by integrating orderly market closure and reopening arrangements with standing cash resilience capabilities. Cash functions as a critical public utility, and during systemic disruption, loss of access has immediate social and economic consequences, particularly for cash-reliant households and essential-goods supply chains.

The program combines three mutually reinforcing components. First, a dedicated Cash Response Team OCARM playbook defines authority, triggers, communication protocols, staged shutdown, and restart actions to enable orderly execution under extreme scenarios. Second, a financial-sector-wide OCARM simulation exercise, aligned to international crisis and business continuity standards, validates readiness, exposes operational dependencies and strengthens reopening capability across the cash value chain. Third, the program embeds standing crisis governance and operational resilience levers, including buffer stock policies, balance-sheet relief mechanisms, offshore business-continuity printing options and contingency responses for extreme demand shocks.

The design reflects a realistic systemic crisis risk context, explicitly testing degraded communications, constrained mobility, security threats, and surging public demand for cash. By combining documented playbooks, sector-wide exercising, and capacity levers, the program ensures that, if market closure is required, it remains orderly in practice while preserving cash availability and acceptance throughout the disruption.

The initiative is institutionalised through permanent governance structures and repeatable exercises, making it both sustainable over time and readily replicable across jurisdictions, crisis scenarios and sectors.

Country/Countries of Implementation:

South Africa

Impact of the Program

Method of determining impact – Impact is evaluated through:

  1. Formal exercise-based validation: using defined evaluation criteria (team composition, alternates, communication/call-tree effectiveness, dependencies, documented processes/flows, and reopening readiness), and post-exercise polling/assessment captured in the OCARM exercise reporting.Refer to Exhibit 1 (attached image): OCARM Simulation Exercise Participant Objective Assessment – Achievement rated from A – Strongly Disagree to E – Strongly Agree
  1. Real‑world crisis response evidence:  Over the period 9-18 July 2021, social unrest affected parts of South Africa, mainly concentrated in the Kwa-Zulu Natal and Gauteng provinces. The riots that attended this crisis resulted in extensive damage to the infrastructure of Commercial Bank branches, ATM’s and Retailers. Each infrastructure attack site, or hotspot, is depicted within Exhibit 2 below.Refer to Exhibit 2 (attached image): “A map depicting ‘ hotspots’ or the location of each (infrastructure) attack as sourced from News24 (the original and a description link includes a description o of what took place at each attack site). Source: https://specialprojects.news24.com/-unrestsa-map-hotspots-looting-kzn-gauteng/index.html

A Cash Response Team was convened to respond to the crisis. It created the visibility of inventory held at the Commercial Bank Branches, ATM’s and Cash Centres that assisted the SARB to supply the additional demand for the cash that needed to be replaced. A total cash injection of R2.5 billion was provided by the SARB to assist the industry recovery. Total injection based on pre-uprising holdings: ATM recovery inventory = R 1,312,933,872; Bank Branch recovery inventory = R 1,139,333,438. A total of R 2,452,267,310 was injected into the supply chain during this period.

Other examples of the efficacy of the program:

  • During the COVID-19 grant period, monthly grants of R5.6bn and a measured ~20% increase in cash demand vs 2019, with SARB injecting R5bn of new banknotes to support the system response.
  • The same deck documents a 66% spike in cash demand (baseline) in KZN during floods, illustrating “demand shock” behaviour and the need for rapid distribution measures.

In summary, the foregoing examples show that:

  1. Demand shocks are real and material;
  2. the program’s playbooks, coordination and supply levers are grounded in crisis experience; and
  3. The OCARM simulation adds structured, repeatable validation to strengthen preparedness and reopening capability.

The scope of User Benefit

This program benefits all cash users by protecting everyday cash access and acceptance during disruption, with specific relevance for:

  • People reliant on cash during outages when digital rails may be degraded;
  • Retailers and essential-goods supply chains that need dependable ‘cash-in/cash-out’ functioning;
  • The broader financial sector by reducing the risk of disorderly closure/reopening of cash services during OCARM events.

Sustainability/Replicability of the program

The program is sustainable because it is built as an institutionalised cycle: documented playbooks, defined structures, and repeated exercises with continuous improvement. The OCARM exercise report explicitly recommends ongoing rehearsals, call-tree testing, documentation centralisation, and strengthened reopening artefacts such as templates, checklists and holding statements — all of which support long-term maturity rather than one-off compliance.

It is replicable because the approach is modular: any jurisdiction can combine:

(1) a cash-industry playbook,

(2) scenario-based exercising with clear criteria, and

(3) contingency levers (buffers, BCP supply, emergency governance) tailored to local constraints.

Ingenuity of the Program

Ingenuity lies in integrating a cash playbook into a broader OCARM framework designed for “orderly closure and reopening,” while also confronting the uniquely physical constraints of the cash cycle (mobility, security, settlement dependencies, and communication degradation).

Scope of Collaboration

Collaboration is extensive by design: the CRT structure spans SARB Currency Management, Banking Association of South Africa (BASA), PASA, SABRIC, CITASA, banks, CIT providers and other ecosystem participants; and the OCARM exercise convened cross-industry stakeholders with formal facilitation and observation roles.

Diagrams

Diagram 1 — Cash cycle resiliency operating model (governance + levers + outcomes)

This diagram summarises the program logic of SARB’s cash resiliency initiative. The left-hand block (FSCF / OCARM Framework) provides the crisis-governance trigger for systemic disruption, while the three enabling pillars show how resiliency is operationalised: (1) the Cash Response Team (CRT) National Blackout Playbook, created to guide orderly closure and restart of cash-value-chain activities under a blackout scenario; (2) the sector-wide OCARM simulation used to validate playbooks, expose gaps and drive continuous improvement; and (3) standing crisis structures (SARB’s internal JOC and the industry BCP forum) that coordinate readiness and response across stakeholders.

The “Resiliency levers” block reflects the capacity layer required to absorb demand and supply shocks—buffers and contingency supply arrangements (including off‑shore BCP options) that strengthen continuity when local infrastructure or production is disrupted.

Diagram 2 — Demand for cash peaks during times of crisis

The below diagram demonstrates a core reality of cash cycle resiliency: cash demand becomes most volatile precisely when other systems are under strain. The chart shows the year‑on‑year monthly growth in the volume of cash withdrawals, where “monthly growth” is calculated as withdrawals in a given month versus the same month in the previous year

The demand volatility shown above (Diagram 2) is precisely the risk addressed by SARB’s OCARM Cash Cycle Resilience Program, which strengthens preparedness and coordinated execution through:

  1. Pre‑agreed crisis playbooks and governance (Cash Response Team / CRT under OCARM) to enable orderly shutdown and restart actions under a national blackout scenario—so cash distribution decisions remain coordinated, consistent, and safety‑first during the most chaotic phases of disruption.
  2. Supply continuity levers that ensure banknote availability during demand surges and supply disruptions, including buffer stock policy (operational and strategic buffers), offshore business continuity printing arrangements, and contingency actions described in the “black swan” response note.
  3. Evidence‑based validation through the OCARM simulation approach (scenario‑based exercising) to identify and close operational gaps (communications, legal clarity, alternates, reopening protocols) before a real event occurs

South Africa diagrams Cash Cycle resiliency operating model

Awards | Currency Awards 2026

Category:

Best Cash Cycle Resiliency Project-Program

Status:

Finalist | Nominee